Thanks to Ivan Pollack for this information
2010 SENATE RACES
-
- 1 Retiring Democratic Senators (5 seats)
- 2.2 Retiring Republican Senators (6 seats) Hold all 6
- 2.3 Democratic incumbents (13 seats)
- 2.3.1 Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas ***
- 2.3.2 Barbara Boxer of California ###
- 2.3.3 Michael Bennet of Colorado ***
- 2.3.4 Daniel Inouye of Hawaii
- 2.3.5 Barbara Mikulski of Maryland
- 2.3.6 Harry Reid of Nevada ***
- 2.3.7 Kirsten Gillibrand of New York ###
- 2.3.8 Chuck Schumer of New York
- 2.3.9 Ron Wyden of Oregon
- 2.3.10 Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania ***
- 2.3.11 Patrick Leahy of Vermont
- 2.3.12 Patty Murray of Washington ###
- 2.3.13 Russ Feingold of Wisconsin ###
- Republican incumbents (12 seats) Hold all 12
- 2.4.1 Richard Shelby of Alabama
- 2.4.2 Lisa Murkowski of Alaska
- 2.4.3 John McCain of Arizona
- 2.4.4 Johnny Isakson of Georgia
- 2.4.5 Mike Crapo of Idaho
- 2.4.6 Chuck Grassley of Iowa
- 2.4.7 David Vitter of Louisiana
- 2.4.8 Richard Burr of North Carolina
- 2.4.9 Tom Coburn of Oklahoma
- 2.4.10 Jim DeMint of South Carolina
- 2.4.11 John Thune of South Dakota
- 2.4.12 Bob Bennett of Utah
*** 80% + chance to pick up = 8 seats
### 40%-60% chance to pick up = 4 seats
I have noted my assumptions:
All Republicans seeking re-election will win their races.
Republicans pick up 4 of the 5 retiring Dems.
Republicans pick up 4 incumbent Dem. seats.
I rate 4 Dem. incumbents as possible pick ups. Therefore, if Republicans hold on to all their seats they need to pick up 2 of the 4 “possibles” to get to a 51 seat majority.
